Using a framework akin to portfolio theory in asset pricing, we introduce the concept of “political beta” to model firm-level export diversification in response to global political risk. The main implication of our model is that a firm is less responsive to changes in political relations...

Staatliche Zahlungsausfälle haben nicht selten politische Ursachen. Während ökonomische Rahmenbedingungen wie etwa Wirtschaftswachstum, Finanzstabilität oder globale Investorenstimmungen die Zahlungsfähigkeit eines Staates beeinflussen, wird die tatsächliche Rückzahlung von Staatsschulden...

The currency premium is one of the three components of the differential between local and foreign interest rates. Emerging economies such as South Africa typically face positive interest rate differentials, i.e., a higher cost of capital than developed economies. In this paper we aim at...

The efficient market hypothesis describes an efficient market as one in which investors cannot consistently predict stock returns because prices instantly reflect all the information flowing into the market. However, return predictability has been documented in many markets. This study tests the...

This study investigates the impact of the macroeconomic environment on South African industrial sector returns. Using standardized coefficients, we find that global influences are the most important drivers of returns and that industrial sectors are highly integrated with the global economy. We...

This paper will examine seasonal effect anomalies in emerging stock markets using monthly returns in a number of emerging stock markets from Africa and Asia. In addition, the paper will try to report an explanation for this phenomenon in case that it occurs. This study utilizes methodologies...

This paper examines the efficiency in pricing securities as well as the relation between exchange rate and dynamics of equity returns in a number of emerging stock markets from Africa and Asia,. This study utilizes methodologies based on Single variance ratio test of Lo and Mackinlay (1988),...

At the 2010 FIFA World Cup, many soccer matches were played during stock market trading hours, generating a natural experiment to analyze fluctuations in investor attention. Using data for fifteen countries, we find that market activity declined substantially during matches. Given that similar...

Fama and French (1992), in a controversial paper at the time, noted strong associations between cross-sectional equity returns and so-called style variables including size, the price to earnings (P/E) ratio, gearing and the book to market (B/M) ratio. Other researchers have subsequently...