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The article discusses problems of the empirical verification of the relative version of the theory of purchasing power parity based on aggregated price indexes (especially using the consumer price index). The goal of the articles is to compare empirical results obtained from cross-country time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008754973
This paper elaborates on the economic operating system (EOS) the role it can play in growth. It focuses on markets, price determination and forces of demand and supply in order to illustrate how an EOS model offers greater economic growth, stability and safety. This paper delves into market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008685520
Mexico is the only country in Latin America that has maintained a floating exchange rate regime for a relatively long period of time. Therefore the study of Mexico’s experience could provide useful lessons for other emerging economies. The paper analyses
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005510155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005563556
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period since the start of EMU considering a wide range of forecasting models, including standard bivariate forecasting models, factor models, simple combination forecasts as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295806
In this paper we follow an empirical approach to examine the implications of the Fisher hypothesis, namely cointegration linking interest rates and inflation, and stationarity of the real interest rate implying in turn homogeneity of the potential equilibrium relation. The considered sample is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296257
This paper investigates the transmission of monetary policy in the euro area based on the factor augmented vector autoregressive approach of Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz (2005) as well as on a standard VAR model. We focus on the reaction of monetary aggregates to a one-off monetary policy shock....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298834
The information content of broad money M3 for future GDP inflation in the euro area is investigated from a number of perspectives. Firstly, tests that money does not Granger-cause prices are conducted within a cointegrated VAR system comprising real M3 holdings, real GDP, inflation and short-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604079
This paper investigates the properties of monetary and credit aggregates as indicators for future price developments in the euro area. The forecasting performance of models including indicators based on money and credit is assessed in a simulated out-of-sample forecasting exercise for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604109
This paper assesses the performance of monetary indicators as well as of a large range of economic and financial indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 considering standard bivariate forecasting models, factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604913