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Impact of a Lower Oil Subsidy on Indonesian Macroeconomic Performance, Agricultural Sector and Poverty Incidences : A Recursive Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Analysis

Oktaviani, Rina; Hakim, Dedi B.; Sahara; Siregar, Hermanto - 2015

Budget deficit, exchange rate fluctuation and high fuel world price provides a pressure on budget capacity to stimulate the Indonesian economy. The government has designed several fiscal policies, including reducing the fuel subsidy. The study objective is to analyse the impact of reducing fuel...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220796

Trade Liberalization and the Dynamics of Poverty in Tunisia : A Layered CGE Microsimulation Analysis

Bibi, Sami; Chatti, Rim - 2018

The effects of trade liberalization on poverty in Tunisia are examined, using a layered dynamic CGE … household, using a sample from the 1995 household survey, and thus the effects of the simulated changes on poverty. Dominance … tests are also used to avoid the arbitrariness of choosing a poverty line and a poverty measure. Simulation results show …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058488

A framework for ex-ante economic impact assessment of tourism investments : an application to Haiti

Banerjee, Onil; Cicowiez, Martin; Gachot, Sebastien - 2015

regional economy-wide and poverty impacts of a US$36 million investment in tourism in the south of Haiti. The first social … representative household configuration to enable more robust analysis of tourism investment impacts on poverty and income inequality … of unemployment fell from 26% to 23%. The investment helped lift some of the region¿s poorest out of poverty, reducing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431387

Computable General Equilibrium Simulations of the COMESA-EAC-SADC Tripartite Free Trade Agreement

Willenbockel, Dirk - 2019

Building upon earlier work by Willenbockel (2013; MPRA Paper No.51501), this study provides an extended ex-ante computable general equilibrium (CGE) assessment of the Tripartite Free Trade Agreement between the member states of the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa, the East African...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894604

The Economic Impact of Tariff Eliminations in a U.S.-U.K. Free Trade Agreement : A CGE Model with Worker Displacement

Ferry, Jeff; Narayanan Gopalakrishnan, Badri; Mayoral, … - 2021

On May 5, 2020, the U.S. Trade Representative announced plans to negotiate a free trade agreement with the United Kingdom. We use GTAP to model the economic impacts of this free trade agreement, exclusively focusing on the bilateral tariff elimination. We find that a standard GTAP model leads to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215978

Assessing the impact of the United States-People's Republic of China trade dispute using a multiregional computable general equilibrium model

Gentile, Elisabetta; Li, Gen; Mariasingham, Mahinthan Joseph - 2020

Since the onset of the ongoing United States (US)-People's Republic of China (PRC) trade dispute in 2017, stakeholders and experts alike have expressed deep concerns that the tensions would come at a cost for the countries involved and the global economy. In this paper, we endeavor to quantify...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301155

How will global trade patterns evolve in the long run?

Bekkers, Eddy; Corong, Erwin L.; Métivier, Jeanne; … - 2023 - Manuscript date: 31 January 2023

In this paper the evolution of global trade patterns until 2050 is projected with a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. Feeding the model with exogenous projections on macroeconomic, demographic, sectoral and trade cost variables, the evolution of trade patterns emerges...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013535798

Trade reforms, poverty and inequality in Bangladesh

Nahar, Bodrun; Siriwardana, Mahinda; Treadgold, Malcolm … - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010442681

Welfare and Poverty Impacts of Tariff Reforms in Bangladesh : A General Equilibrium Approach

Bazlul, H. Khondker - 2018

This paper examined welfare and poverty impacts of trade liberalization in Bangladesh. By using a computable general … regressive pattern is observed among the urban households but it is ambiguous for the rural households. Rural poverty declined …. Except for the second simulation, the urban poverty headcount, gap and severity all worsen in other two simulations. This …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920043

Trade opening fiscal reforms, poverty, and inequality : a CGE analysis for Bangladesh

Nahar, Bodrun; Siriwardana, Mahinda - In: The developing economies 51 (2013) 2, pp. 145-185

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009778370