Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF … find inflation forecasts are systematically biased downwards for countries with greater IMF loans outstanding relative to … GDP, indicating that the IMF engages in defensive forecasting. Countries with a fixed exchange rate regime also receive …

Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF … find inflation forecasts are systematically biased downwards for countries with greater IMF loans outstanding relative to … GDP, indicating that the IMF engages in defensive forecasting. Countries with a fixed exchange rate regime also receive …

Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF … find inflation forecasts are systematically biased downwards for countries with greater IMF loans outstanding relative to … GDP, indicating that the IMF engages in “defensive forecasting.” Countries with a fixed exchange rate regime also receive …

Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF … find inflation forecasts are systematically biased downwards for countries with greater IMF loans outstanding relative to … GDP, indicating that the IMF engages in “defensive forecasting.” Countries with a fixed exchange rate regime also receive …

Using panel data for 157 countries over the period 1999-2005 we empirically investigate the politics involved in IMF … find inflation forecasts are systematically biased downwards for countries with greater IMF loans outstanding relative to … GDP, indicating that the IMF engages in “defensive forecasting.” Countries with a fixed exchange rate regime also receive …

IMF lending is generally conditional on specified policies and outcomes. These conditions usually are negotiated …