On the basis of a model on time consistent interaction of monetary and fiscal policy, we propose a positive theory of government debt and inflation. The basic take is that the long-term level of public liabilities can be explained as the endogenous outcome of a dynamic game played between two...

This paper evaluates whether an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy can account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The analysis shows that the benchmark model --- and a number of variants...

This paper examines two numerical methods for pricing of American spread options in the case where both underlying assets follow the jump-diffusion process of Merton (1976). We extend the integral equation representation for the American spread option presented by Broadie and Detemple (1997) to...

Until recently, latent variable models such as the factor analysis model for metric responses, the two-parameter logistic model for binary responses, the multinomial model for nominal responses considered only main effects of latent variables without allowing for interaction or polynomial latent...

We build a dynamic duopoly model that accounts for the empirical observation of monopoly persistence in the long run. More specifically, we analyze the conditions under which it is optimal for the market leader in an initially duopoly setup to undertake pre-emptive R&D investment, ("strategic...

Beginning with Mirrlees, the optimal taxation literature has generally focused on economies where individuals are differentiated by only their productivity. In this pa- per we examine models with discrete types where individuals are differentiated by two or more characteristics. For example, we...

In this paper, I propose a term structure model which bridges the gap between affine no-arbitrage model and Nelson and Siegel one. My model outperforms significantly in fitting the yield curve, in rejecting the expectation hypothesis and in out-of-sample forecasting. The second point helps to...

This paper tries to assess which kind of real rigidities can enhance our understanding of inflation and labor market dynamics in a dynamic general equilibrium model with capital and labor market frictions and nominal price rigidities. We particularly introduce real wage rigidities through...

Using monthly data from 1926:01 to 2003:12 for the United States, this paper examines the predictability of real stock prices based on the dividend-price ratio. In particular, we focus on estimating and forecasting a nonlinear exponential smooth autoregressive model (ESTAR). One motivation for...

We consider consistent tests for stochastic dominance efficiency at any order of a given portfolio with respect to all possible portfolios constructed from a set of assets. We propose and justify approaches based on simulation and the block bootstrap to achieve valid inference in a time series...