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nowcasting and forecasting quarterly world GDP using mixed-frequency models. We find that a recently proposed indicator that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306598
forecasting volatility. We outline the genesis of this approach from similar models of turbulent flows in statistical physics and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886985
In the paper we analyze determinants of the capital market beta risk in Poland in the monthly period 1996-2002. The beta risk is measured as a time-varying parameter estimated in a regression of the Warsaw stock indexes (WIG and WIG20 separately) on major foreign stock market indexes (DJIA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005249463
models. The forecasting performance is assessed through filtered residuals. The analyses show that the business survey is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013221
Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
The degree of integration and openness of OECD economies has consistently increased throughout most of the past three decades. By limiting the influence of non-economic factors, and reducing heterogeneity in economic systems, increased integration and openness enhance the emergence of common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045601
In this paper we have assessed an influence of the NYSE Stock Exchange indexes (DJIA and NASDAQ) and European Stock indexes (DAX and FTSE) on the Warsaw Stock Exchange index WIG within a framework of a GARCH model. By applying a procedure of checking predictive quality of econometric models as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406048
In this study, an attempt has been made of develop a dynamic macroeconometric model of Pakistan’s economy to examine the behaviour of major macroeconomic variables such as output, consumption, investment, government expenditure, money, interest rates, prices, exports, and imports. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009004087
Timmermann (1994) to stock market forecasting, and show that their proposed recursive predictions are much less robust than naive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011091069
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011091715