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Emerging market economies (also known as emerging economies, EEs) have become important on the world economic stage, where they now play a vital role in international trade and financial flows and account for a conspicuous fraction of the global economic dynamic. Despite the relatively tepid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397572
with three indicators, covering the West, the East and the MENA portions of the Mediterranean, characterizes well the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605413
indicators sampled at different frequencies. We conduct a real-time forecast exercise to predict US key macroeconomic variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956676
We estimate a production-based general equilibrium model featuring demand- and supply-side uncertainty and an endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle fluctuations. Both demand- and supply-side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536883
models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179853
DSGE models are typically estimated using Bayesian methods, but a researcher may want to estimate a DSGE model with full information maximum likelihood (FIML) so as to avoid the use of prior distributions. A very robust algorithm is needed to find the global maximum within the relevant parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011716917
This dissertation focuses on describing and explaining business cycle dynamics. Motivated by the extraordinary strong economic downturn in 2008/2009, it emphasis the importance of modeling nonlinearities. This thesis should be regarded as a contribution to applied econometrics and can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157628
indicators sampled at different frequencies. We conduct a real-time forecast exercise to predict US key macroeconomic variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011962204
models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
I revisit the Great Inflation and the Great Moderation for nominal and real variables. I document that while financial price variables follow such a pattern; financial quantity variables experience a continuous immoderation. A model with financial frictions and financial shocks allowing for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904620