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In this paper, we propose an interpretation of the Hilbert space method used in quantum theory in the context of decision making under uncertainty. For a clear comparison we will stay as close as possible to the framework of SEU suggested by Savage (1954). We will use the Ellsberg (1961) paradox...
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Many theories have been developed to model decision behavior under ambiguity. In this paper we empirically investigate theories which are based on non-additive probabilities, i.e. Choquet expected utility (CEU) theories. We first replicated Ellsberg-paradox behavior. Then we elicited the...
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In subjective expected utility (SEU) the decision weights people attach to events are their beliefs about the likelihood of events. Much empirical evidence, inspired by Ellsberg (1961) and others, shows that people prefer to bet on events they know more about, even when their beliefs are held...
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We run an experiment that gives subjects the opportunity to hedge away ambiguity in an Ellsberg-style experiment. Subjects are asked to make two bets on the same draw from an ambiguous urn, with a coin flip deciding which bet is paid. By modifying the timing of the draw, coin flip, and decision,...
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