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Since the adoption of the Single European Act in 1986, doubts have been expressed about the ability of the European Monetary System as presently structured to ensure an efficient and effective monetary system for the single European market. The further adoption by the European Council (June...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368507
This paper explores the relationship between exchange rate pass-through and market share for monopolistically competitive exporters. Under fairly general assumptions we show that pass-through should be high for exporters based in a country with a very large share of total destination market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372533
This paper documents a sustained decline in exchange rate pass-through to U.S. import prices, from above 0.5 during the … robust to the measure of foreign prices that is included in the regression (i.e., CPI versus PPI), whether the estimation is … done in levels or differences, and whether U.S. prices are included as an explanatory variable. Notably, the largest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372544
Using data on the foreign exchange positions of five leading financial institutions, this paper attempts to determine whether the recent profitability of banks' foreign exchange trading is due to superior abilities to forecast exchange rate movements. Overall, the position data provide evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372565
This paper examines the choice of exchange rate regime in EU candidate countries during the process of accession to the European Monetary Union (EMU). In the presence of real exchange rate appreciation due to the Balassa-Samuelson effect, candidate countries face a trade-off between trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372578
This paper analyzes movements in the U.S. external imbalance over the 1980s from the perspective of the capital account. It considers the empirical evidence on two competing hypotheses about the causes of the large and persistent net capital inflow during the decade: one that the capital inflow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372586
The simultaneous occurrence of devaluation and recession in Mexico in 1995, as well as in the East Asian economies more recently, appears to contradict the conventional view that devaluations are expansionary. Moreover, a sizeable theoretical and empirical literature also argues that, contrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372600
Recently the role of the ECU has increased and there has been concern whether it is sustainable. The first part of this paper examines the composition of the ECU and investigates the impact of changes in this composition on the value of the ECU. The results show that when there is little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372604
Argentina's Austral Plan is used as a point of departure for the investigation of the role of exchange rate policy in a macroeconomic stabilization program for a developing country. A model of a country like Argentina is developed and the relationship between the exchange rate and macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372617
In this paper we construct a new measure of U.S. prices relative to those of its trading partners and use it to … relative U.S. prices have increased significantly over the past 15 years. In terms of simple correlations, the relationship … between our measure of relative prices and U.S. net exports is much more coherent than that between existing REERs and net …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005372622