Ferraro, Domenico; Rogoff, Ken; Rossi, Barbara - Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia - 2011
This paper investigates whether oil prices have a reliable and stable out-of-sample relationship with the Canadian … prices and the exchange rate at the monthly and quarterly frequencies. In contrast, the main contribution is to show the … authors use contemporaneous (realized) or lagged oil prices in their regression. However, in the latter case the predictive …