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that pass-through to U.S. import prices is low over the short- to medium-term horizons that are most useful for both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551304
This paper investigates whether oil prices have a reliable and stable out-of-sample relationship with the Canadian … prices and the exchange rate at the monthly and quarterly frequencies. In contrast, the main contribution is to show the … authors use contemporaneous (realized) or lagged oil prices in their regression. However, in the latter case the predictive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279911
In this paper, we find that expected (news) and unexpected (contemporaneous) components of productivity changes have opposite effects on the U.S. real exchange rate. Following Barsky and Sims' (2010) identification method, we decompose US total factor productivity (TFP) into news and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008739773
In highly dollarized banking systems, the high level of foreign currency assets or liabilities on banks' balance sheets may create a currency mismatch risk, which could lead to bank failures when faced with sudden exchange rate movements. Central banks in such economies have to adjust their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008742552
We measure the economic value of information derived from macroeconomic variables and from technical trading rules for emerging markets currency investments. Our analysis is based on a sample of 21 emerging markets with a floating exchange rate regime over the period 1997-2007 and explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837527
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Remarks by President Dudley at the Foreign Policy Association Corporate Dinner, New York City.
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