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This paper reexamines Okun's law by applying the Box-Cox transformation of variables. Major findings are that the effect of a change in the GNP gap on the unemployment rate varies from -0.280 in 1969.1 to -0.801 in 1982.4; the effect is larger (smaller) when the unemployment rate is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005641868
M1, M2, and M3 demands in Mexico are positively influenced by output and stock prices and negatively associated with the saving rate, the U.S. interest rate, and the expected inflation rate. Peso depreciation affects M1 demand negatively and M2 and M3 demands positively. The log-linear form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005603824
Applying and extending the Mundell-Fleming model, this study attempts to examine the behavior of short-term real exchange rates for Venezuela. It finds that the real effective exchange rate is positively associated with real government deficit spending and negatively influenced by real M2, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005607516
Extending the Romer (2000) model and the Taylor (1993; 1998; 1999) rule, this paper derives theoretical relationships between equilibrium output in Mexico and a change in the exchange rate, stock values, or the world interest rate. Empirical results show that more deficit spending, higher stock prices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005753854
The objective of the paper is to examine the impact of higher oil prices on Mexico's real GDP. Applying an open economy model, this paper finds that more money supply, more deficit spending, a higher real stock price, real appreciation of the peso, a lower US interest rate, and a lower expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005754162
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005313133
Applying the GARCH(1,1) model, this article finds that a higher real oil price may have a positive or negative impact on the US real output and that the critical value of the real oil price for output maximization is estimated to be $50.09 per barrel. Hence, real crude oil prices of $54.90 in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498563
Four different models are considered in examining the movements in the AUD/USD exchange rate. Based on the value of R2, the uncovered interest parity model performs best, followed by the purchasing power parity model, the monetary model, and the Mundell-Fleming model. The opposite signs of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498605