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This paper studies asset allocation decisions in the presence of regime switching in asset returns. We find evidence that four separate regimes - characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery states - are required to capture the joint distribution of stock and bond returns. Optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360566
Standard theoretical models predict that domestic residents should diversify their portfolios into foreign assets much more than observed in practice. Whether this lack of diversification is important depends on the potential gains from risk-sharing. General equilibrium models and consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005713788
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005716941
Sustained large U.S. current account deficits have led some economists and policymakers to worry that future current account adjustment could occur through a sudden and disruptive depreciation of the dollar and a sharp drop in U.S. consumption. Two factors that, to date, have cast doubt on such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420594
An analysis of the impact of the baby-boom generation's inrush into the work force on consumer spending, debt, and foreign investment, finding evidence that age demographics are a strong determinant of aggregate household consumption.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390428
This paper investigates the effects of wealth on consumer spending in the United States. A traditional life-cycle model … is estimated first. Although it does find a statistically significant wealth effect, its findings are unusable due to the … offered. First, wealth is divided into stock market and non-stock market components, second into liquid and illiquid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474974
changing the numeraire from units of consumption to units of the consumption process. In terms of the new units, the wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397480
discrete-time solutions are derived, illustrating the following ideas: (i) The price-dividend ratio (such as the wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397550
Although most recent empirical research regarding the size and significance of the impact of changes in wealth on … industrial countries as well. This paper investigates the strength of the wealth effect across countries. Using a variety of … methods, I find evidence of significant wealth effects in the United Kingdom and Canada of a size comparable to that in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368483