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literature focuses on recessions at the aggregate level. We provide evidence on the behavior of a large set of developed and … external financial dependence of industries. We distinguish financial from normal recessions, and look at the patterns of the … leads to a rich set of results grouped in 14 stylized facts. Most importantly, we found that recessions tend to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010443384
different consequences for the costs of recessions. Using U.S. employer-employee data, we find that employment growth at low … that while during recessions separations fall in both high-paying and low-paying firms, the decline is stronger among low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468174
This paper examines trends in household consumption and saving behaviour in each of the last three recessions in the UK … expenditure than was seen in previous recessions, and the distributional pattern across individuals differs. The young have cut …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500198
-cycle framework how individuals respond to recessions. Our focus is on the sharp increase in savings rates that have been observed in … the current and recent recessions. We show empirically that these saving spikes were short-lived and common to all working … age groups. We then study life-cycle models in which recessions involve one or more of: (i) an aggregate permanent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500212
Perron and Wada (J Monet Econ 56:749-65, 2009) propose a new method of decomposition of the GDP in its trend and cycle components, which overcomes the identification problems of models of unobserved components (UC) and ARIMA models and at the same time, admits non-linearities and asymmetries in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500567
recessions accelerate this process. In doing so we establish a new fact about the demand for skill over the business cycle. Using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760041
The slow recovery following the 2008/2009 recession has led to renewed interest in the question whether deep recessions … to large recessions. The test has more power than conventional unit root tests. We find that positive and negative shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310943
Contrary to standard agnostic statistical approaches an output gap estimate based on a New Keynesian Small Open Economy model provides the possibility to analyze the driving forces of the variation in GDP caused by nominal rigidities. This paper makes use of this and provides an estimate of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316060
of the modern business cycle: financial-crisis recessions are more costly than normal recessions in terms of lost output …; and for both types of recession, more credit-intensive expansions tend to be followed by deeper recessions and slower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318835
Although a huge literature spanning several disciplines documents an association between poverty and child abuse, researchers have not found persuasive evidence that economic downturns increase abuse, despite their impacts on family income. In this paper, we address this seeming contradiction....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319478