Starting from the Merton framework for firm defaults we provide the analytics and robustness of the relationship between default probabilities and default correlations. We then derive the implication of these results for the impact of macroeconomic shocks on credit portfolios, for the pricing of...

I incorporate the productivity risks into an investment-based q-factor asset pricing model. The productivity risks factors largely summarize the cross-sectional portfolio return, where the time-varying volatility plays an important role. A parsimonious q-factor model driven by productivity risks...

This paper investigates the market consequences of sovereign accounting errors. Eurostat, a division of the European Commission, issues semiannual assessments of financial reports produced by the member states of the European Union (EU), and issues reservations that detail financial reporting...

This paper explores the asymmetric connectedness of systemic risk between the oil and global stock markets in both the time and frequency domains. To do so, we introduce time-varying parametric vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) spillover index models and implied volatility indices to examine risk...

The phenomenon of climate change, which has been guiding discussions around the contemporary economic development process, has sparked a series of initiatives aimed at outlining strategies for the future of humanity. Considering the magnitude of the challenge to be faced, which involves a...

We document a causal effect of social interactions on investor behavior using the number of local soccer games as a measure of social interaction intensity. Social transmission is identifiable in buy but not sell trades. The effect of Social Interaction Intensity (SII) on the sensitivity of...

We study investors' perceptions of inflation through the lens of a high-frequency event study and document that they have a stagflationary view of the world. In response to higher-than-expected inflation, investors expect firms' nominal cash flows to remain stagnant while discount rates...

We combine a customized survey and randomized controlled trial (RCT) to study the effect of higher-order beliefs on U.S. retail investors' portfolio allocations. We find that investors' higher-order beliefs about stock market returns are correlated with but distinct from their first-order...

Through large-scale asset purchases, widely known as quantitative easing (QE), central banks around the world have affected the supply of safe assets by buying quasi-safe bonds in exchange for truly safe reserves. We examine the pricing effects of the European Central Bank's bond purchases in...