The paper presents a non-technical survey of some of the issues involved in the design of stabilization policy in developing countries with special emphasis on policy responses to external shocks. First, the six most important external economic parameters of developing countries are reviewed: 1)...

In this paper, we implement a methodology to identify and measure premia in the pricing of forward foreign exchange. The methodology involves application of signal-extraction techniques from the engineering literature. Diagnostic tests indicate that these methods are quite successful in...

The new and prospective entrants to the EC join an economic environment that itself is undergoing rapid change. The combination of the European Monetary System (EMS) and the integration of European financial markets in 1992 will alter substantially the environment of monetary and fiscal policy...

This paper develops a model of financial institutions that borrow short-term and invest in long-term marketable assets. Because these financial intermediaries perform maturity transformation, they may be vulnerable to runs. We endogenize the profits of an intermediary and derive distinct...

This paper examines the efficiency of the Canadian treasury bill market as measured by the performance of the expectations model of the term structure of interest rates. In particular, market efficiency is shown to depend upon certain institutional features of the treasury bill auction process....

The current financial crisis seems to be more painful than those occurring in recent decades. This crisis caused a massive decline in the market confidence of both businesses and consumers. The crisis has affected a multitude of economic and financial activities such as financial markets that...

In a developing and fluctuant world, derivatives help the investors to avoid risks and moreover to assume them when it is necesary. The trade of the derivatives contributes to the growth of liquidity of the assets’ market. For the banks, which traditionally avoid risks, this fact combined with...

The project aims to create an econometric model which allows the forecasting of the evolution of Romania’s real economy, as well as the evolution of the system of Romanian financial markets. The study basis is represented by the assimilation of real economies with physics systems which are...

Recent macroeconomic evolutions during the years 2008 and 2009 have pointed out the impact of financial markets on economic activity. In this paper, we propose to evaluate the ability of a set of financial variables to forecast recessions in the euro area by using a non-linear binary response...

Asset market liquidity risk is a significant and perplexing subject and though the term market liquidity risk is used quite chronically in academic literature it lacks an unambiguous definition, let alone understanding of the proposed risk measures. To this end, this paper presents a review of...