Governor Randall S. Kroszner presented identical remarks at the Institute of International Bankers, New York, New York, June 15, 2006

Governor Randall S. Kroszner presented identical remarks at the Bankers' Association for Finance and Trade, New York, New York, on June 15, 2006

This paper provides cross-country empirical evidence on term premia, inflation uncertainty, and their relationship. It has three components. First, I construct a panel of zero-coupon nominal government bond yields spanning ten countries and eighteen years. From these, I construct forward rates...

Remarks at The Economic Club of New York, New York City.

Governor Randall S. Kroszner presented identical remarks at the Institute of International Bankers, New York, New York, June 15, 2006

Governor Randall S. Kroszner presented identical remarks at the Bankers' Association for Finance and Trade, New York, New York, on June 15, 2006

This working paper comments on Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider's "Bond Positions, Expectations, and the Yield Curve," delivered at the Fiscal Policy and Monetary/Fiscal Policy Interactions conference held at the Atlanta Fed on April 19–20, 2007.

This paper implements a structural model of the yield curve with data on nominal positions and survey forecasts. Bond prices are characterized in terms of investors' current portfolio holdings as well as their subjective beliefs about future bond payoffs. Risk premia measured by an...

Affine term structure models in which the short rate follows a jump-diffusion process are difficult to solve, and the parameters of such models are hard to estimate. Without analytical answers to the partial difference differential equation (PDDE) for bond prices implied by jump-diffusion...