The seasonal structure of quarterly U.K. and Japanese consumption and income is examined by means of fractionally-based tests proposed by Robinson (1994). These series were analysed from an autoregressive unit root viewpoint by Hylleberg, Engle, Granger and Yoo (HEGY, 1990) nd Hylleberg, Engle,...

The smoothed maximum score estimator of the coefficient vector of a binary response model is consistent and asymptotically normal under weak distributional assumptions. However, the differences between the true and nominal levels of tests based on smoothed maximum score estimates can be very...

This paper investigates the stability of households' consumption behaviour in France through a prcedure of discriminating between feedback and feedforward models connected to the notions of encompassing in invariance initially proposed by Hendry (1988).

A rank three demand system incorporating labour force participation, non-separability of demands from excluded goods and non-exeact aggregation in income and household characteristics is estimated using United States Consumer Expenditue Survey microdata.

This paper compares quasi Monte Carlo methods, in particular so-called (t,m,s)-Nets, with classical Monte Carlo approaches for simulating econometric time-series.

We present a multiple regression fitting method which, unlike least-squares regression, treats each variable in the same way.

Recent tests using long data series find evidence in favor of long-run PPP (by rejecting either the null hypothesis of unit roots in real exchange rates and relative prices.)

We establish the relationships between certain Bayesian and classical approaches to instrumental variable regression. We determine the form of priors that lead to posteriors for structural parameters that have similar properties as classical 2SLS and LIML and in doing so provide some new insight...

In monetary Stock-Flow Consistent (SEC) models, accounting identities reduce the number of behavioral functions to avoid an overdetermined system of equations. We relax this restriction using a differential-algebraic equation framework of constrained dynamics. Agents exert forces the variables...

This paper takes stock of the ECB's macroeconometric modelling strategy by focusing on the models and applications used in the Forecasting and Policy Modelling Division. We focus on the guiding principles underpinning the current portfolio of the main macroeconomic models and illustrate how they...