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Individuals often lose confidence in their prospects as they approach the `moment of truth.' An axiomatic model of such … temptation and self-control to capture an individual who changes her beliefs so as to become more pessimistic as payoff time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599389
Individuals often lose confidence in their prospects as they approach the `moment of truth.' An axiomatic model of such … temptation and self-control to capture an individual who changes her beliefs so as to become more pessimistic as payoff time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702513
Individuals often lose confidence in their prospects as they approach the "moment of truth." An axiomatic model of such … temptation and self-control to capture an individual who changes her beliefs so as to become more pessimistic as payoff time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833206
temptation, perfectionists, and persons susceptible to self-deceit. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010839411
This paper presents a model and an experiment, both suggesting that wishful thinking is a pervasive phenomenon that aect decisions large and small. Agents in the model start out with state-dependent payos, and behave as if high-payo states are more likely. Subsequent choices maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903414
optimism and pessimism can be captured by the stake-dependent probabilities in these alternative representations; e.g., for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351308
optimism and pessimism can be captured by the stake-dependent probabilities in these alternative representations; e.g., for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351465
possible outcomes of the act and suggest that these alternate representations can capture pessimism or optimism. We then extend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010721457
by (dominates) the Savage distribution. We suggest that pessimism (optimism) can be captured by the stake …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010600835
possible outcomes of the act and suggest that these alternate representations can capture pessimism or optimism. We then extend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011184269