In this paper bilateral models formalizing monthly growth of US imports and exports are employed to investigate the potential of nonlinear relationships linking exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth. Parametric linear and nonlinear as well as semiparametric time series models are evaluated...

In frontier analysis, most of the nonparametric approaches (DEA, FDH) are based on envelopment ideas which suppose that with probability one, all the observed units belong to the attainable set. In these "deterministic" frontier models, statistical theory is now mostly available. In the presence...

We provide a framework for the analysis of term structures of credit spreads on corporate bonds in the presence of informational asymmetries. While bond investors observe default incidents, we suppose that they have incomplete information on the firm's assets and/or the threshold asset level at...

This paper entertains the notion that disturbances on the demand side play a central role in our understanding of the Great Depression. In fact, from Euler equation residuals we are able to identify a series of unusually large negative demand shocks that appeared to have hit the U. S. economy...

Let (x, z) be a pair of random vectors. We construct a new smoothed empirical likelihood based test for the hypothesis that E(z|x) a.s. = 0, and show that the test statistic is asymptotically normal under the null. An expression for the asymptotic power of this test under a sequence of local...

One puzzling behavior of asset returns for various frequencies is the often observed positive autocorrelation at lag 1. To some extent this can be explained by standard asset pricing models when assuming time varying risk premia. However, one often finds better results when directly fitting an...

We consider auction games where, prior to the auction, bidders spend resources to increase their valuations. The market game is solved by solving an equivalent auxiliary social choice problem. We show that standard auctions are fully efficient, whereas reserve price requirements entail a double...

Empirical studies of open-market share repurchases in the U.S. typically find a mean abnormal return around the announcement day of about 3%. In Germany share repurchases were highly restricted before May 1998. Since then firms have repurchased shares in the open market more than 250 times....

We consider a financial market model with a large number of interacting agents. Investors are heterogeneous in their expectations about the future evolution of an asset price process. Their current expectation is based on the previous states of their neighbors and on a random signal about the...

There are three major points to this article: 1. Measurement error causes biases in regression fits. The line one would obtain if one could accurately measure exposure to environmental lead media will differ in important ways when one measures exposure with error. 2. The effects of measurement...