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Business cycles correlation between Mexico and the US changed from being on a downward sloping path before 1992 to an upward sloping path after that. This paper suggests that the North American Free Trade Agreement could be the explanation. NAFTA generated not only an increase in the volume of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009143438
comovements of the common component of output and investment series both at firm level and at sectoral level. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328598
The price-rent ratio in commercial real estate is highly volatile, and its variation comoves with the business cycle. To account for these two facts, we develop a dynamic general equilibrium model that explicitly introduces a rental market and incorporates the liquidity constraint on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389584
We apply the advanced time-and-frequency-domain method of singular spectrum analysis to study business cycle dynamics in a set of nine U.S. macroeconomic indicators. This method provides a robust way to identify and reconstruct shared oscillations, whether intermittent or modulated. We address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282959
This paper examines the comovements of construction in Italy's regions from 1861 to 1913. The dynamic correlations of …-term comovements are examined by tracking the dispersion of the first differences of the measured trends. Increasing dispersion is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260246
We apply the advanced time-and-frequency-domain method of singular spectrum analysis to study business cycle dynamics in a set of nine U.S. macroeconomic indicators. This method provides a robust way to identify and reconstruct shared oscillations, whether intermittent or modulated. We address...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552186
The price-rent ratio in commercial real estate is highly volatile, and its variation comoves with the business cycle. To account for these two facts, we develop a dynamic general equilibrium model that explicitly introduces a rental market and incorporates the liquidity constraint on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219582
In this paper, we study the co-movements between stock market indices and real economic activity over the business … other. We then analyse the co-movements between three-month interest rates and the cyclical and structural components of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056545
This paper examines the existence of common movements in production, prices and interest rates in three countries: France, Germany and the United Kingdom. To analyse this issue, the usual approach of studying cross-correlations is extended. Though these European countries are closely linked to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731192
We use a factor model to detect the presence of economy-wide underlying forces leading firm growth. By using quarterly firm level data on 660 US firms for 20 years, we find evidence of a unique common factor explaining approximately one fifth of the variance of firm growth rates. We investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739582