No Brasil, o efeito mais grave da recente crise econômica mundial adveio da onda de afrouxamento generalizado de restrições orçamentárias que teve origem nas economias avançadas. A crise deu ao governo pretexto para mudanças substanciais no regime fiscal e nas relações entre o Estado e...

Este capítulo abarca um longo período entre marcado por três golpes de estado. O primeiro golpe, em 1930, determinou o fim da República Velha e o início de um período de quinze anos de preeminência política de Getúlio Vargas, primeiro como chefe do Governo Provisório, depois como...

In 2004, in the beginning of the first president Lula mandate, a complete regulatory reform of electricity was launched. In 2008, four years after, Brazilian Congress started an investigation of the causes of Brazilian relatively high electricity tariffs. The results of the investigation pointed...

Mimicking the “Great American Crime Decline” (Zimiring, 2007), violent crime in the state of São Paulo dropped sharply in the 2000s after rising steadily throughout the 1980s and 1990s. This paper evaluates the role of crack cocaine in explaining the aggregate dynamics in violence. Four...

We analyze the unique intervention strategy of the BCB using DNDFs (Domestic-Non-Deliverable Forwards): currency forwards that settle in domestic currency. We show the mechanisms through which DNDFs provide efficient hedging instruments for economic agents in times of reduced capital inflows and...

We combine questions from the Michigan Survey about the future path of prices, interest rates, and unemployment to investigate whether households are aware of the basic features of U.S. monetary policy. Our Öndings support the view that at least some groups of households form their expectations...

A model of realized variance-covariance is proposed using a portfolio with the most liquid stockassets of Ibovespa. The purpose is to evaluate the economic gains associated with following avolatility timing strategy based on the model’s conditional forecasts. Comparing with...

Popular press and some practitioners have warned against threats that buying risky assets pose on agents saving for retirement, children education and other uses. This paper shows that in a standard two-period general equilibrium model where some saver shave no risk-sharing motives, there exists...