probability, with confidence interval, of the time that a prescribed degradation level is exceeded is shown to be practical, as … demonstrated in the analysis of irradiated fuel cladding. The methodology for the estimation of the probability is predicated on …

and prediction uncertainty with different probability structures. Several examples are presented utilizing this metric. We …

probability of individual component failure is sometimes interpreted as the percentage of components likely to fail, this … multiplying by the probability of individual component failure. However, more complicated cost models require a break down of how … many components are likely to fail. This break down enables the calculation of costs associated with various probability of …

uncertainty. The significant innovation of this framework is that it allows for the allocation of a probability mass to sets or … intervals. Dempster-Shafer theory does not require an assumption regarding the probability of the individual constituents of the …

) that achieves the lowest total project cost for a given probability of success while meeting technical performance and … not just individual risks. The efficient RRA set is determined based on ''Outcome Cost Vs Probability of Success''. The … risks and RRAs are characterized using scenarios, decision trees, and cumulative probability distributions. The analysis …

around hydro conditions, market prices and river operations for fish recovery. In order to provide a high probability of … expenses). BPA subsequently evaluates in the ToolKit Model the Treasury Payment Probability (TPP) resulting from the rates …

its costs and provide a high probability of making its Treasury payments on time and in full during the rate period. By … potential for recovering costs in terms of probability of being able to make Treasury payments on time (also known as Treasury … Payment Probability or TPP). …

certain probability distribution function (PDF). Upon many realizations of the model, one can get reliable information about …