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The real options tradition originally predicted a decreasing relationship between uncertainty and investment, through … the positive effect of higher uncertainty on the trigger level for revenue relative to costs. An opposing effect on the … probability is not the best measure of investment. The sign of the total effect is again ambiguous. This ambiguity is illustrated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320899
reverting processes are rarely used in investment models in the literature. In most models, geometric Brownian motion processes … investigations of aggregate industry investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150516
We solve an agent's optimization problem of meeting demands for cash over time with cash deposited in bank or invested in stock. The stock pays dividends and uncertain capital gains, and a commission is incurred in buying and selling of stock. We use a stochastic maximum principle to obtain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567676
certainty and uncertainty. Prior to stopping, the expected rate of return from delay exceeds the rate of interest. The expected … uncertainty. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051951
We derive a new equation for the optimal investment boundary of a general irreversible investment problem under … exponential Lévy uncertainty. The problem is set as an infinite time-horizon, two-dimensional degenerate singular stochastic … the Wiener-Hopf factorization allow us to derive an integral equation for the optimal investment boundary. In case the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043056
This paper revisits the important result of the real options approach to investment under uncertainty, which states … that increased uncertainty raises the value of waiting and thus decelerates investment.Typically in this literature … that investment projects are usually considered to have a .nite life.The present paper studies investment projects with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011092584
In the literature investigating the impact of uncertainty on short-run and long-run investment, most authors have used … general ones and has the advantage of providing closed form solutions for both short-run investment rule and long-run rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010189451
We derive robust predictions on the effects of uncertainty on short run investment dynamics in a broad class of models … of the capital stock is ambiguous. An investment model is estimated to test these theoretical predictions using a panel … of UK firms and a stock returns-based measure of uncertainty. As predicted we find that uncertainty reduces firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293014
In this paper we investigate how demand and output price uncertainty affect investment plans of Belgian manufacturing … literature: two reduced form equations and a structural Euler equation. Our results show that uncertainty depresses investment …, uncertainty postpones investment today in favour of investment tomorrow. This effect is stronger for firms with more irreversible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506546
investment. Uncertainty increases real option values making firms more cautious when investing or disinvesting. This is confirmed … both numerically for a model with a rich mix of adjustment costs, time-varying uncertainty, and aggregation over investment …This paper shows that, with (partial) irreversibility, higher uncertainty reduces the impact effect of demand shocks on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928730