Systematic trading is a method that is currently extremely popular in the investment world. The testing of systematic trading rules is usually done through backtesting and is at high risk of spurious accuracy as a result of the data-mining bias (DMB) present from testing multiple rules...

Based on a method developed by Laybourne, Kim and Taylor (2007) for detecting multiple changes in persistence, we test for changes in persistence in the dividend-price ratio of the Nasdaq stocks. The results confirm the existence of the so-called Dotcom bubble around the last turn of the century...

Este es material de curso para un curso introductorio a la Probabilidad y la Estadistica en Ingenieria y Administracion. Es parte de algunas notas de clases de mis cursos en Español sobre esos temas. Cuando se toman decisiones y existen eventos futuros y desconocidos la unica razon por la cual...

High breakdown-point regression estimators protect against large errors and data contamination. We adapt and generalize the concept of trimming used by many of these robust estimators so that it can be employed in the context of the generalized method of moments. The proposed generalized method...

The purpose of this paper was to realize a multivariate analysis of the monthly unemployment rate in the county of Constanta using the following variables: the average net wage (SAL), the number of the employees (EMPL), the consumption price index (IPC) for the January 2000- march 2012 period....

The purpose of this research was to identify several features of the unemployment phenomenon in the SE region of Romania, using several of the most significant indicators highlighting the main correlations between specific labour market indicators and an indicator by which we can assess the...

We extend our 2003 paper on instrumental variables (IV) and GMM estimation and testing and describe enhanced routines that address HAC standard errors, weak instruments, LIML and k-class estimation, tests for endogeneity and RESET and autocorrelation tests for IV estimates.

The generalized method of moments estimator may be substantially biased in finite samples, especially so when there are large numbers of unconditional moment conditions. This paper develops a class of first order equivalent semi-parametric efficient estimators and tests for conditional moment...

The principal purpose of this paper is to adapt to the conditional moment context the GEL unconditional moment methods described in Smith(1997, 2001) and Newey and Smith(2004). In particular we develop GEL estimators which achieve the semiparametric efficiency lower bound. The requisite GEL...

The bootstrap and multiple imputations are two techniques that can enhance the accuracy of estimated confidence bands and critical values. Although they are computationally intensive, relying on repeated sampling from empirical data sets and associated estimates, modern computing power enables...