We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem...

This paper deals with the phenomenon of high levels of unofficial euroisation in countries preparing for EU membership (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Serbia and Turkey). The challenges stemming from unofficial euroisation are particularly relevant...

In einem Umfeld kriseninduzierter Verunsicherung über das Funktionieren des Geldund Finanzsystems finden Forderungen nach einer grundsätzlichen Reform des Geldwesens verstärkte mediale Beachtung. Das elektronische Währungsprojekt Bitcoin und das Konzept Vollgeld sind zwei Varianten von Ideen...

After decades using monetary aggregates as the main instrument of monetary policy and having different varieties of crawling peg exchange rate regimes, Colombia adopted a full-fledged inflation-targeting (IT) regime in 1999, with inflation as the nominal anchor, a floating exchange rate, and the...

The paper gives an overview over issues concerning the role of financial stability in monetary policy. Historically, financial stability has figured highly among central banks´ objectives, with policy measures ranging from interest rate stabilization to serving as a lender of the last resort....

Die Neue Keynesianische Makroökonomik bietet ein alternatives Paradigma zum herkömmlichen IS-LM-Modell. Ihre Grundzüge werden anhand einer sehr einfachen Version vorgestellt. Die dynamischen Implikationen der Methodik rationaler Erwartungen werden erläutert. Es zeigen sich Grenzen für die...

Some have argued that a significant decrease in the demand for money, due to financial innovations, could imply that central banks are unable to implement effective monetary policies. This paper argues that central banks are always able to influence the economy's interest rates, because their...

We derive four sets of counterfactual national interest rate paths for the 17 Euro Area countries for the time period 1999 to 2012. They approximate desirable national interest rates countries would have liked to implement if they could still conduct independent monetary policy. We find that...

According to most academics and policymakers, transparency in monetary policymaking is desirable. I examine this proposition in a small theoretical model emphasizing forwardlooking private sector behavior. Transparency makes it easier for price setters to infer the central bank's future policy...

Evidence on the interdependency between monetary policy and the state of the banking system is scarce. We suggest an integrated micro-macro approach with two core virtues. First, we measure the probability of bank distress directly at the bank level. Second, we integrate a microeconomic hazard...