Aguiar, Alvaro; Martins, Manuel M. F. - Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto - 2003
This paper presents new tests and estimates of the Phillips trade-off in the Euro Area, carried out in a unobserved components model with possibly non-linear Phillips and Okun relations, using quarterly aggregate data for the period 1970:I-2001:II. A concept of forward-looking near-rational...