This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism-contagion-during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41...

This paper examines volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets and tests for changes in the transmission mechanism—contagion—during turbulences in mature markets. Tri-variate GARCH-BEKK models of returns in global (mature), regional, and local markets are estimated for 41...

This paper investigates the dynamic interaction between ination and stock returns in four ination targeting countries. We find that following the introduction of formal targets, ination persistence and the magnitude of volatility spillovers between ination and stock returns have been reduced.

In this article we examine the sensitivity of the foreign exchange market to central bank intervention. Using a time varying Markov switching model we separate periods of relatively stable market conditions from volatile periods and look at the dynamic of the causality effect under different...

This article considers the problem of selecting among competing nonlinear time series models by using complexity-penalized likelihood criteria. An extensive simulation study is undertaken to assess the small-sample performance of several popular criteria in selecting among nonlinear...

This paper is concerned with the problem of joint determination of the state dimension and autoregressive order of models with Markov-switching parameters. A model selection procedure is proposed which is based on optimization of complexity-penalized likelihood criteria. The efficacy of the...

This paper compares the ability of nonlinear and standard linear models to capture the dynamics of foreign exchanges rates in the presence of structural breaks. The analysis is conducted for three East Asian countries, namely Indonesia, South Korea and Thailand. It is shown that a Markov...

This paper extends the Murray and Papell (2002) study by using a non-parametric bootstrap approach which allows for non-normality, and focusing on quarterly real exchange rate in twenty OECD countries in the post-1973 floating period. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) regressions were run, and the...