This paper describes the current stress-testing framework used at the Czech National Bank to test the resilience of the banking sector. Macroeconomic scenarios and satellite models linking macroeconomic developments with key risk parameters and assumptions for generating dynamic stock-flow...

This paper focuses on key macroeconomic driving factors influencing the loss given default (LGD) - an important credit risk parameter determining credit losses of the banking sector. Various econometric approaches are applied on both individual and aggregated data for different bank segments in...

We build a satellite DSGE model to investigate the transmission of fiscal policy to the real economy in the Czech Republic. Our model shares features of the Czech National Bank's current g3 forecasting model (Andrle, Hledik, Kamenik, and Vlcek, 2009), but contains a more comprehensive fiscal...

This work presents an extension of a small open economy DSGE model allowing the transition toward a monetary policy regime aimed at exchange rate stability to be described. The model is estimated using the Bayesian technique to fit the properties of the Czech economy. In the scenarios assessed,...

The paper aims at enriching current discussions about the equilibrium exchange rate level for the economy with large external debt, subdued real income growth, fragile financial sector and repeated problems with current account deficit. The main idea of the paper is to apply one of the newly...

This paper examines the parity conditions between assets denominated in different currencies, traded in a well-integrated segment of the international capital market, and derives the consequences for exchange rate expectations. The main objective is to assess the uncovered asset return parity...