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Recent research in both the social and natural sciences has been devoted to increasing our ability to predict disasters, prepare for them and mitigate their costs. Curiously, we appear to know very little about the fiscal consequences of disasters. The likely fiscal impact of a natural disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003854805
A big challenge for the economic development of small island countries is dealing with external shocks. The Pacific Islands are vulnerable to natural disasters, climate change, commodity price changes, and uncertain donor grants. The question that arises is how should small developing countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860997
We present a dynamic small open economy model to explore the macroeconomic impact ofnatural disasters. In addition to permanent damages to public and private capital, the disastercauses temporary losses of productivity, inefficiencies during the reconstruction process, anddamages to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942348
This paper presents a Markov switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model designed to evaluate the macroeconomic return of adaptation investment to natural disasters (NDs) and the impact of climate change. While the model follows the existing literature in assuming that NDs destroy a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353544
Weather-related natural disasters and climate change pose interrelated macro-fiscal challenges. Using panel-VARX studies for a sample of 19 countries in Developing Asia during 1970 to 2015, this paper contributes new empirical evidence on the dynamic adjustment path of growth and key fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942333
This paper examines to what extent slowdowns in economic growth are compounded by widening fiscal deficits and corresponding pressures on public debt after natural disasters. We rely on ifo GAME database (Felbermayr and Groeschl (2014)) that contains exogenous measures of physical disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225771
This paper explores implications of climate change for fiscal policy by assessing the impact of large scale extreme weather events on changes in public budgets. We apply alternative measures for large scale extreme weather events and conclude that the budgetary impact of such events ranges...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159926
Pacific island countries (PICs) are vulnerable severe natural disasters, especially cyclones, inflicting large losses on their economies. In the aftermath of disasters, PIC governments face revenue losses and spending pressures to address post-disaster relief and recovery efforts. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864115
Past governments in Myanmar presided over a system generally characterized by weak fiscal management, but this has recently changed with the present government restoring a measure of fiscal discipline, reorienting fiscal priorities, and establishing a clear set of fiscal objectives in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011290008