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inflation combined with a free float seems to be the ultimate option. The paper shows how to design and operationalize such a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768835
The ECB's objective of medium-term inflation below 2 percent has been portrayed by critics as ambiguous, asymmetric … that: (1) in terms of guiding inflation expectations and policymaking, the current definition has functioned much as would … an inflation target centered on 1 1/2-1 3/4 percent; (2) the absence of a specific (point) target for medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768947
This paper motivates and describes an approach to forecasting and monetary policy analysis based on the use of a simple structural macroeconomic model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. It contrasts this approach with financial programming and its emphasis on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768925
This paper provides a how-to guide to model-based forecasting and monetary policy analysis. It describes a simple structural model, along the lines of those in use in a number of central banks. This workhorse model consists of an aggregate demand (or IS) curve, a price-setting (or Phillips)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599522
with a lag of at least three quarters, with inflation taking seven quarters to respond. Inflation is inertial and … persistent when it sets in, irrespective of the source. Exchange rate pass-through to domestic inflation is low. Inflation turns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767372
adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union … credibility, and that a positive inflation target, as opposed to zero inflation, leads to higher and less volatile output. These … countries supports country-specific flexible inflation targeting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605065
inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short …-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263831
inflation forecast targeting regime in Sri Lanka. The FPAS model provides a relatively good forecast for inflation and a … framework to evaluate policy trade-offs. The model simulations suggest that an open-economy inflation targeting rule can reduce … could aim to target a broad inflation range initially due to its susceptibility supply-side shocks while enhancing exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019583
toward an increase in expected inflation falls as debts increase beyond a certain threshold level. A debt …-constrained interest rate rule and the threshold level of debt are jointly estimated for Canada during the first decade of its inflation … loose than what inflation indicators called for. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264121