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-sided ambiguity and pure risk. Our results show a significant relationship between individual overconfidence and competence measures …) competence, the perception of feeling knowledgeable or competent in an area and 2) overconfidence, the well documented result … and elicited values of lotteries in a financial decision context. Further, the interaction of overconfidence, competence …
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Overconfidence is one of the most ubiquitous cognitive bias. There is copious evidence of overconfidence being relevant … overconfidence. Cognitive uncertainty represents a decision maker's uncertainty about her action optimality. We present a simple … model of overconfidence based on the concept of cognitive uncertainty. The model relates the concepts theoretically and …
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strong overconfidence and illusion of control, particularly for people who assume they have high skill, and that these biases …In many countries, betting in sports is highly regulated. In Germany, however, there are current debates whether … hypothesis in three incentivized online studies on soccer betting (N=214) and provide evidence against two crucial parts of this …
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Denna uppsats redogör för en empirisk undersökning av realismen hos odds från ett stort spelbolag. Undersökningen tillämpar teorier från psykologisk beslutsforskning och beteendeinriktad ekonomisk vetenskap. Baserat på analyser av ett unikt empiriskt material bestående av odds från de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005750498
Here we investigated whether, given equivalent supporting evidence, we judge self-selected hypotheses differently from those selected by an external source. On each trial of a probabilistic reasoning task requiring no retrieval from memory, participants rated the probability of a focal...
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