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The paper develops a simple three-sector model of a developing country with nominal wage rigidity, in which one sector is thought of as the primary sector and the other two are sectors in which the country can diversify. The paper then analyzes the relationship between the market structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825986
subject to random shocks affecting endowments, the terms of trade, and the real interest rate. Equilibrium stochastic … mimics the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect, but cannot account for a countercyclical trade balance, the variability of the … real exchange rate, and the income elasticity of imports. The results also show that the correlation between the trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605153
We analyze trade dynamics following past episodes of financial crises. Using an augmented gravity model and 179 crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839351
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011337855
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012152560
suggest Benin’s external position is sustainable. Large trade and current account deficits are comfortably financed by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245132
This Selected Issues paper assesses the desired level of foreign exchange reserves in the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, given its commitment to maintain the exchange rate peg. A variety of methods including popular rules of thumb, comparisons with other emerging countries, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245324
This Selected Issues Paper and Statistical Appendix for Niger are discussed. The Nigerien economic outlook has been improving since 1999. After a long period of decline in per capita income, growth accelerated through 2007, attaining an annual average of 4 percent, or about 1 percent in per...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245770
This paper tests a model of the role of stock markets in current account dynamics, developed in a companion paper. With U.S. data, the model performs better than the same model without stock markets. An insight given by the model is that the current account might help predict future stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248178
In this paper, the IMF's new Global Economy Model (GEM) is used to estimate the contribution of unbalanced growth to the decline in the share of goods production in Australia and New Zealand. The simulation results suggest that faster productivity growth in the tradable goods sector in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248284