Commodity price shocks are an important type of external shock and are often cited as a problem for economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. This paper quantifies the impact of agricultural commodity price shocks using a near vector autoregressive model. The novel aspect of this model is that we...

Over the past 30 years (1990-2019), African economies have experienced remarkable improvements in real macroeconomic conditions, characterized by higher and more stable real per-capita growth rates, and lower and more stable inflation, which deserves to be called a "Great African Moderation"....

This paper investigates the impact of institutions or structural policies on the volatilityof income or GDP per capita in transition countries and in Kazakhstan in particular. Inthe first part of the paper we compare Kazakhstan's institutional framework with othertransition economies based on a...

The secession of Southern Sudan from the mother nation of Sudan was a direct result of political agreement known as the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). It was expected by the totalitarian government of Northern Sudan that it can contain the civil war between the Sudan Popular Liberation...

Most empirical studies based on U.S. data suggest that the fiscal multiplier is less than 1 (e.g., Barro and Redlick, 2011). However, Keynes argued that the multiplier would be the largest when markets have failed to the greatest extent in coordinating economic activities (such as during the...

This article is an addition to a series of online publications on the natural science foundations of the global economy. In Parts I-XI, we presented the concepts of physical macroeconomics published earlier in interdisciplinary journals and books. These logically interconnected concepts are...

This paper proposes a new taxonomy for countries based on principal component analysis. The paper investigates 51 countries using a set of 13 indicators of economic and technological performance for the period 2000-2002. The methodology reduces the variables and groups the countries that show...

The crisis of international markets following recent events such as terrorist attacks, wars in the Middle East, high public debts, growing financial globalisation and integration have raised an interest in the analysis of country risk among industrialised countries as well as emerging nations....

Commodity price shocks are an important type of external shock and are often cited as a problem for economic growth in Sub-Saharan Africa. We choose nine Sub Saharan African countries that are heavily dependent on a single agricultural commodity for a significant portion of their income. This...