-Timmermann test, the directional forecasts of F3 and the autumn expectations of F2 are useful and rational. … forecasts made for Romanian by three experts in forecasting: F1, F2 and F3. All the unemployment rate forecasts over the horizon …

The necessity of improving the forecasts accuracy grew in the context of ac- tual economic crisis, but few researchers … inflation rate forecasts on the horizon 2010 - 2012, we proved that the one-step-ahead forecasts based on updated AR(2) models … constructing the forecasts, by using the limits of the bias- corrected-accelerated bootstrap intervals for the initial data series …

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to enormous data movements that strongly affect parameters and forecasts from standard … transitory and persistent changes in volatility. The resulting density forecasts are much less sensitive to outliers in the data …

uncertainty and risks that are related to the baseline forecasts. …

inflation using a lineal combination of the forecasts of these components, i.e. a "bottom to top" approach. In this paper, we …

This paper examines the extent to which errors in economic forecasts are driven by initial assumptions that prove to be … incorrect ex post. Therefore, we construct a new data set comprising an unbalanced panel of annual forecasts from different … recommendations based on economic forecasts. …

bootstrap simulations were used for assessing the uncertainty in inflation rate forecasts in Romania. …

In this study some alternative forecasts for the unemployment rate of USA made by four institutions (International … predictions are unbiased. The combined forecasts of institutions’ predictions are a suitable strategy to improve the forecasts … accuracy of IMF and OECD forecasts when all combination schemes are used, but INV one is the best. The filtered and smoothed …