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motivate the class of regime switching models, and revue the estimating and testing procedures. In the second part, we will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291065
We consider the estimation and inference in a system of high-dimensional regression equations allowing for temporal and cross-sectional dependency in covariates and error processes, covering rather general forms of weak dependence. A sequence of regressions with many regressors using LASSO...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146373
We consider the estimation and inference in a system of high-dimensional regression equations allowing for temporal and cross-sectional dependency in covariates and error processes, covering rather general forms of weak dependence. A sequence of large-scale regressions with LASSO is applied to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433170
This paper discusses the existence of spurious long memory in common nonlinear time series models, namely Markov switching and threshold models. We describe the asymptotic behavior of the process in terms of autocovariance and autocorrelation function and support the theoretical evidences by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003784026
We have developed a new test against spurious long memory based on the invariance of long memory parameter to aggregation. By using the local Whittle estimator, the statistic takes the supremum among combinations of paired aggregated series. Simulations show that the test performs good in finite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003862929
We propose a class of simple rank-based tests for the null hypothesis of a unit root. This class is indexed by the choice of a reference density g, which needs not coincide with the unknown actual innovation density f. The validity of these tests, in terms of exact finite sample size, is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003819749
approach this problem by offering a bootstrap based testing procedure to discriminate between these two rival models. We … forces of real exchange rates. -- Nonlinearities ; Markov switching ; Smooth transition ; Specification testing ; Real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008908972
testing ; Unit root testing ; Real exchange rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003950818
In this article we provide evidence for a rational bubble in S\&P 500 stock prices by applying a test for changing persistence under fractional integration proposed by Sibbertsen and Kruse (2007). We find strong evidence for stationary long memory before the estimated change point in 1955 and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003672198
In this paper, we propose two parametric alternatives to the standard GARCH model. They allow the conditional variance to have a smooth time-varying structure of either additive or multiplicative type. The suggested parameterizations describe both nonlinearity and structural change in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003618525