There is now a plethora of non-linear time-series models of output over the business cycle, and considerable empirical evidence that there are key non-linear, poorly understood mechanisms at work. Inventories, though a small part of the total flow of national income, play a disproportionately...

This paper provides some empirical evidence of asymmetric price adjustment. There have been a number of models put forward recently by Tsiddon and Ball and Mankiw in which it is optimal for the firm to respond asymmetrically to cost and demand shocks. In this paper this hypothesis is...

This paper is concerned with the estimation and simulation of a model of aggregate private sector non-residential investment. Its interest in investment centres on two main issues: the first is the role of the equity market in the transmission mechanism, while the second is the possibility of...

Transparency and openness of the monetary policymaking process at the Bank of England has provided very detailed information on both the decisions of individual members of the Monetary Policy Committee and the information on which they are based. We consider this decision making process in the...

Co-movements and correlations in the major macroeconomic aggregates has been the focus of much recent literature in business cycle research. In this paper we provide another dimension to business cycle analysis. We examine the evolution of the cross sectional distribution of the growth rates of...