In this letter tests for asymmetric dynamic behaviour are applied to Australian consumers expenditure. In contrast to recent findings for the UK provided by the seminal work of Holly and Stannett (1995), where asymmetric behaviour is found in the form of heightened levels during booms,...

While there exist numerous applications of Kuhn's analysis of scientific revolutions to economics, there is yet to be an application to econometrics. The present paper addresses this via an analysis of the often-documented transition between the textbook and LSE methodologies witnessed in...

Using tests of time reversibility, this paper provides further statistical evidence on the long-standing conjecture in economics concerning the potentially asymmetric behaviour of output over the expansionary and contractionary phases of the business cycle. A particular advantage of this...

Davidson et al.'s data set is used to demonstrate the existence of a significant asymmetry in the adjustment of consumption towards equilibrium. The Granger-Lee and Escribano-Pfann methods of partitioning the error correction term are compared and it is shown that the latter produces better...

The empirical powers of recently proposed threshold cointegration tests are examined. Using an empirically realistic data generation process two crucial results are derived. First, relative to the implicitly symmetric Engle-Granger test, threshold cointegration tests lack power even in the...

The relationship between the initial condition of time series data and the power of the Dickey-Fuller (1979) test and a number of modified Dickey-Fuller tests is examined. The results obtained extend the asymptotic analysis of Muller and Elliott (2003) by both focussing upon finite-sample power...

The low power of threshold, or asymmetric, cointegration tests is addressed. A new test is developed which combines momentum-threshold autoregression (MTAR) and local-to-unity detrending via generalised least squares (GLS). Critical values for the newly proposed GLS-MTAR threshold cointegration...

The properties of Granger-causality tests are examined when applied to integrated time series. Recently presented results suggesting spurious causality in such circumstances are shown to be highly dependent upon the absence of deterministic terms from the causality testing equations. The...

The standard Dickey–Fuller (DF) test is routinely employed to analyse the integrated nature of economic and financial time series. However, recent research has shown the test to suffer severe size distortion in the presence of breaks in innovation variance under the unit root null hypothesis....