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This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have positive and mostly … estimator provides less biased and robust estimates of the continuous quadratic variation and jumps. This technique also … accuracy of volatility forecasts for the S&P500 index, single stocks and US bond yields, especially in periods following the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766526
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly … in the presence of jumps and provides less biased estimates, with respect to the standard multipower variation, of the … power than tests based on multipower variation. Empirical analysis (on the S&P500 index, individual stocks and US bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328432
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly … in the presence of jumps and provides less biased estimates, with respect to the standard multipower variation, of the … power than tests based on multipower variation. Empirical analysis (on the S&P500 index, individual stocks and US bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008550139
Recent developments allow a nonparametric separation of the continuous sample path component and the jump component of realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting for this allows improved forecasting of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290416
Recent developments allow a nonparametric separation of the continuous sample path component and the jump component of realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting for this allows improved forecasting of future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688501
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables … exchange and stock markets. Out-of-sample forecasting experiments confirm that implied volatility is important in forecasting …, predictable, and options appear calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in all three markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290353
options appear to be calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in Treasury bond prices, and hence interest …We study the relation between realized and implied volatility in the bond market. Realized volatility is constructed … from high-frequency (5-minute) returns on 30 year Treasury bond futures. Implied volatility is backed out from prices of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290465
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables … exchange and stock markets. Out-of-sample forecasting experiments confirm that implied volatility is important in forecasting …, predictable, and options appear calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in all three markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004979472
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables … exchange and stock markets. Out-of-sample forecasting experiments confirm that implied volatility is important in forecasting …, predictable, and options appear calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in all three markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005004428
options appear to be calibrated to incorporate information about future jumps in Treasury bond prices, and hence interest …We study the relation between realized and implied volatility in the bond market. Realized volatility is constructed … from high-frequency (5-minute) returns on 30 year Treasury bond futures. Implied volatility is backed out from prices of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005653084