This paper explores the endogenous joint evolution of demand and supply in new markets. Firms and consumers learn, in a Bayesian fashion, by observing the behavior of other firms and consumers, respectively. As a result, endogenous information diffusion takes place on both sides of the market....

This paper evaluates the economic consequences of quality change and new service introductions in the cable television industry over the period 1989-1995. To address these issues, we develop and estimate a discrete-choice, differentiated product model of the demand for and the pricing of the...

We describe a computationally intensive methodology for the estimation and analysis of partially observable nonlinear systems. An example from epidemiology is the SEIR model, which is a system of differential equations with random coefficients that describe a population in terms of four state...

Over the period 1973-1985, the correlations of GDP, employment and investment between the United States and an aggregate of major trading partners were respectively 0.76, 0.67, and 0.61. Between 1986-1998 the same correlations were much lower: 0.25, -0.19, and 0.16 (real regionalization). At the...

This study investigates the effects of Medicaid and strategic behavior on (1) the probability of entering a nursing home, (2) amounts of formal and informal care provided elderly persons in the community, and (3) asset accumulation. We find that Medicaid subsidies increase the probabilyt of...

Since only the residents of a single jurisdiction are affected by local consumption externalities, local regulation might be expected to be inefficient. Yet when production has increasing returns to scale, one jurisdiction's choice of regulatory standard affects the prices and availability of...

In this paper we study the configuration dynamics and the societal equilibrium selection of repeated lattice games. Each player plays games only with his immediate neighbors hence indirectly interacts with everyone else. A player may or may not have perfect control over his action. Different...

This paper evaluates the role of various volatility specifications, such as multiple stochastic volatility (SV) factors and jump components, in appropriate modeling of equity return distributions. We use estimation technology that facilitates non-nested model comparisons and use a long data set...

Most of the existing literature on the optimal shape of income tax has a common result - decreasing marginal tax rates. This result stands in sharp contrast with real world income tax systems that are characterized by increasing marginal tax rates. Diamond (1998) made explicit the factors that...