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This paper predicts the performance of the stock market using Tobin’s q, momentum, the Campbell-Shiller CAPE, and a new variant of the CAPE, the CAPER, which is trend earnings calculated using regressions of log earnings on time. Generally, the CAPER is superior to the CAPE. But q emerges as...
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Investigating style-adjusted performance is important for an investor who has selected the desired style and wishes to know which fund or company or portfolio would have provided the best performance within that style. Looking at the entire portfolios provided to clients by different companies...
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We consider an economy (e.g., Chile 1973-83) with a minimum wage sector and a free sector and a tax on labor earnings. The supply of labor depends positively on the wage. Jobs in the minimum wage sector are allocated by lottery. In such a model a minimum wage may increase employment and output...
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