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This paper carries out a specification analysis of a test relation for the unbiasedness hypothesis using 30-day forward foreign exchange data from France, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and West Germany. The results indicate that econometric problems exist for each country's test equation....
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The conditional capital asset pricing model is applied to foreign currency futures prices, covariance risk being measured relative to excess returns from a broadly diversified international portfolio of equities. Positive time-varying risk premia are found in all five currencies tested when the...
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This paper analyses a stochastic international growth model with money and country-specific forcing processes for productivity and money growth rates. Monies are required due to cash-in-advance constraints for consumption goods but the liquidity constraints need not be binding for all periods....
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Simple general equilibrium growth model are used to analyse non-steady-state dynamic adjustments. Alternative methods of closing the efficiency surface structure result in prescriptive versus descriptive versions. A sequence of models is analysed to illustrate.
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This paper computes parametric estimates of a time-varying risk premium model and compares the one-step-ahead forecasts implied by that model with those given by a nonparametric kernel estimator of the conditional mean function. The conditioning information used for the nonparametric analysis is...
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