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elections. We use four extensive datasets to estimate an economic turnout model in which local economic variables are included … the determinants of turnout at the 2001 municipal elections and at the 2002 legislative elections. Empirical results …This paper analyzes the impact of economic conditions on voter turnout at Portuguese legislative and municipal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009415538
expected net benefit from doing so. If this instrumental motive is relevant, then turnout should be higher in elections where … more is at stake. We test this prediction, by studying how turnout is affected by exogenous variation in governments …’ financial flexibility to provide pork for their voters. By utilizing simultaneous elections for different offices, we identify a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671721
Why does the leftist party vote increase when turnout increases in some countries and not in others? Why does this … turnout and electoral results. This paper argues that in order to adequately address these questions we need to focus on three … elements: class voting, the mechanisms behind whether the correlation is observed over the short or longterm, and the use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274418
In this short note, we use data from different elections in the German state of North-Rhine Westphalia between 1975 and … 2010 to show that the social democrats generally profit from higher voter turnout at the expense of the conservatives. We … deal with the endogeneity of voter turnout by using election day rain as an instrumental variable. Our particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010501266
Do emotions affect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 870,000 municipal vote outcomes in Switzerland to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative ballot outcomes and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140915
Does voting have downstream consequences for turnout and political preferences? While research initially showed strong … voting eligibility on subsequent turnout and political preferences using rich panel data from the UK. Exploiting the … support for the notion that the experience of voting fosters civic habits and political engagement, recent work has cast doubt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597442
Do emotions affect the decision between change and the status quo? We exploit exogenous variation in emotions caused by rain and analyze data on more than 400 ballot propositions in Switzerland for the years 1958 to 2014 to address this question. The empirical tests are based on administrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584665
Of those eligible, about 40% do not vote in presidential elections. When asked, about a quarter of those nonvoters will … lie to the survey takers and claim that they did. Increases in education are associated with higher voting rates and lower … rates of lying overall, but with increased rates of lying conditional on not voting. This paper proposes a model of voter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412467
Why does the leftist party vote increase when turnout increases in some countries and not in others? Why does this … turnout and electoral results. This paper argues that in order to adequately address these questions we need to focus on three … elements: class voting, the mechanisms behind whether the correlation is observed over the short or long-term, and the use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114037
We conduct a model validation analysis of several behavioral models of voter turnout, using laboratory data. We call … about some of the experimentally controlled parameters — in this case voting costs. We use quantal response equilibrium as … the underlying, common structure for estimation, and estimate models of instrumental voting, altruistic voting, expressive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010822900