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The literature on currency crisis has generally not answered to the following question: which economic policies may reduce the contagion effects of a speculative shock? We use a dynamic Mundell-Fleming model extended to four countries and compute three time-consistent equilibria: a Nash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792596
Stability-oriented European institutions correspond to the general prescriptions of the 'new macroeconomics consensus'. This contribution provides an assessment of the pros and cons of these institutions in terms of macro stabilisation and exchange-rate swings drawing on different scenarios. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730917
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246980
This paper contributes to the debate on fiscal governance for the European Monetary Union, assessing the different fiscal rules currently discussed. We simulate a small scale macroeconomic model with forward looking agents, augmented with a public finances block. We account for both the positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645852
We investigate the interactions between countries of the discretionary component of national fiscal policies (i.e. the cyclically- and interest-adjusted part of fiscal policy), therefore observing and investigating the part of public spending and tax receipts on which governments keep full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692983
Though the promoters of the fiscal theory of the price level consider it as a counterrevolution to the Quantity theory, by demonstrating that price determination is also fiscally driven, we show that the standard framework they use is relevant only when public debt is monetised in the long run....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792592
Since 1990, a growing number of countries have adopted inflation targeting (IT) around the world. Empirical evidence on its advantages has been mixed so far, and most assessments have been based on a control group methodology. In this paper, using a MSVAR technique, we assess the adoption of IT...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792593
This article presents a survey of the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level. According to it, there are two stable regimes of economic policies: one, traditional, where the monetary authorities control inflation and where the fiscal authorities must be concerned with their intertemporal balance. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792610
We use a structural VAR model with short-term restrictions to investigate the relative importance of interest rate, exchange rate and credit channels in the monetary policy transmission (MPT) for the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland over 1993:1-2004:3. Main results are as follows. First, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792619
We use a two-country dynamic model in a monetary union in which we introduce a wealth private behaviour. We study the implications of public debt on monetary and fiscal policies in the short and the long run. We analyse the effects of asymmetric fiscal policies in Euroland: the first country has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792625