This paper evaluates complementarities of labor market institutions and the business cycle in the context of a stochastic dynamic general equililbriurn model econorny. Matching between workers and vacancies with endogenous search intensity, Nash-bargained wages, payroll taxation, and...

In this paper a two-sector growth model allowing indeterminacy to occur at relatively mild degrees of increasing returns is developed. It is shown that these economies of scale need only be present in one sector of the economy (investment). This feature of the model, therefore, builds on...

Background: Studies from several countries have shown that self-rated health is an independent predictor of mortality. However, no empirical evidence exists for Germany so far. We investigate the effectiveness of (i) self-ratings of health by individuals and (ii) changes in self-rated health, as...

In the sequel of its seminal application in Davidson, Hendry, Srba and Yeo (1978) the single equation error correction model has been widely used in empirical practice. Providing a clear distinction between short- and long-run dynamics this model allows OLS-methods to be as efficient as...

In this study we illustrate a Maximum Entropy (ME) methodology for modeling incomplete information and learning from repeated samples. The basis for this method has its roots in information theory and builds on the classical maximum entropy work of Janes (1957). We illustrate the use of this...

The necessity to quantify the risk caused by the high volatility of asset prices, large insurance claims or floods has lead to an increasing interest in extreme value analysis. Generalized Pareto and extreme value distributions are well suited to model data which are exceedances above a...

This paper is the attempt to summarize the state of art in additive and generalized additive models (GAM). The emphasis is on approaches and numerical procedures which have emerged since the monograph of Hastie and Tibshirani (1990) although reconsidering certain aspects of their work. Apart...

We consider problems in modelling job-matching in the Czech Republic during the transition to a market economy. Special interest is devoted to functional form considerations and the analysis of returns to scale of the matching function. This explorative study aims to shed some light into the...

Let X be a continuous adapted process for which there exists an equivalent local martingale measure (ELMM). The minimal martingale measure P is the unique ELMM for X with the property that local P-martingales strongly orthogonal to the P-martingale part of X are also local P-martingales. We...