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Swaps are the monster of illicit financing once solely supported by Hydra–like cryptocurrencies and the informal value transfer system. Their complexity and opaque private market provide ideal cover for money laundering and proliferation financing beyond the reach of detection from lay...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403987
This paper reviews the literature on applications of state-space modelling to macroeconomic questions, with four examples related to modelling unobserved trends, transition across different steady states, expectations formation and forecasting/data revision issues. Due to the flexibility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014085379
In many countries the state heavily intervenes in the agricultural sector. For instance, domestic prices of agricultural products are regulated by import quotas, export subsidies and intervention prices. Furthermore, coupled or decoupled payments as well as several other subsidies (e.g. for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789625
The 1947 Taft-Hartley amendments to the National Labor Relations Act (1935) authorized a state's right to prohibit unions from requiring a worker to pay dues, even when the worker is covered by a collective bargaining agreement. Within a short time of the amendment's passage, twelve (12) states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789681
The Department of Finance employs extensively a large macroeconomic model of the Canadian economy -- the QFS model(Quarterly Forecasting and Simulation Model) -- for economic and fiscal forecasting and simulation exercises. As with any large macroeconomic model, and particularly one that plays a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008502725
This paper demonstrates the extensive scope of an alternative to standard instrumental variables methods, namely covariate-based methods, for identifying and estimating effects of interest in general structural systems. As we show, commonly used econometric methods, specifically parametric,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008518873
Starting from a consistent and asymptotically normally distributed structural estimate of a dynamic econometric model, this paper provides an analytical derivation of the asymptotic distribution of spectra and cross spectra of the jointly dependent variables. A numerical example is provided on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008490559
We consider mean-reverting stochastic processes and build a self- consistent model for forward price dynamics and their applications in power industries. This model with stochastic volatility of the forward price is built using the ideas and equations of stochastic differential geometry in order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124894
The following highly-cited research monograph, although widely available in libraries, is now out of print: William A. Barnett, Consumer Demand and Labor Supply, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1981. In case you do not have access to the printed book, I have scanned it and put it online below. Since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005057411
This paper reviews the literature on applications of state- space modelling to macroeconomic questions, with four examples related to modelling unobserved trends, transition across different steady states, expectations formation and forecasting/data revision issues. Due to the flexibility of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061997