Rivers and Vuong (2002) develop a very general framework for choosing between two competing dynamic models. Within their framework, inference is based on a statistic that compares measures of goodness of fit between the two models. The null hypothesis is that the models have equal measures of...

We present new evidence on disaggregated profit and loss and VaR forecasts obtained from a large international commercial bank. Our dataset includes daily P/L generated by four separate business lines within the bank. All four business lines are involved in securities trading and each is...

I study the effects of a monetary shock in an economy characterized by heterogenous labor schedules and non-separability between consumption and labor in the utility function. To that end, I develop a simple method to deal with household heterogeneity arising from wealth differentials. Compared...

The interest semi-elasticity of money demand has been a long standing puzzle in the monetary economics literature. Researchers consistently have estimated low short-run semi-elasticities, usually around 1, and high long-run semi-elasticities of 10. Given the crucial role of interest...

I provide new empirical and theoretical evidence about the effectiveness of sterilized interventions on exchange rates. These new developments are particularly important to understand why central bankers from developing countries tend to intervene during periods of financial distress. In the...