Isengildina-Massa, Olga; MacDonald, Stephen; Xie, Ran - In: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 37 (2012) 1
This study evaluates all USDA cotton supply and demand estimates for the United States and China (including unpublished price forecasts) from 1985/86 through 2009/10 for accuracy and efficiency. Results reveal that at every stage of the forecasting cycle forecast smoothing was the most...