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This paper is primarily concerned with assessing the bias of the CNB's predictions in relation to undershooting of the inflation target. We conclude, that the inflation prediction error has decreased over time. We further point out that the GDP growth respectively interest rates were above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405582
inflation forecasting and monetary policy decision support. In contrast to the previous conditional projections, the MPM offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009224855
The introductory paper defines three stages of Czech inflation targeting and defines possible factors behind inflation deviations from inflation targets in 1998-2007. The paper also summarises the findings of analyses by CNB experts, which are presented in further chapters of the volume....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765496
This paper investigates basic characteristics of inflation targeting in the Czech Republic. The first part of the paper starts by briefly indicating some general macroeconomic conditions of inflation targeting in the Czech Republic, including the identification of the main shocks, which affected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094112
This paper extends the existing literature on the uniqueness and stability conditions for an equilibrium under inflation-forecast-based (IFB) rules. It shows that, for a variety of New Keynesian sticky-price and sticky-inflation models, these are a function not just of the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517930
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forecasting tools for monetary policy purposes is discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010550859
The use of macroeconomic forecasting models is a common practice in central banks for monetary policy design, for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551079