Interest rates and exchange rates are considered to be one of the most discussed areas under International Finance. When considering the main theories that explore on these two variables, Uncovered Interest Rate Parity (UIP) states that the interest rate differential is an unbiased predictor of...

A consensus is emerging that returns to the currency carry trade are driven by two factors. One of these is clearly consumption risk but there is disagreement about the identity of the remaining factor. This paper bolsters the case for volatility being the unknown factor. A structural model that...

Commodity-exporting countries have persistently high real interest rates and currency excess returns. To explain this fact, I adapt a classic idea: labor cost disease, or the Balassa-Samuelson effect. Commodity booms raise wages in exporter countries, and thus make local goods and services less...

The uncovered interest rate parity condition lies at the heart of the "impossible trinity", stating that the three objectives of fixed exchange rates, free capital flows, and independent monetary policy cannot be pursued simultaneously. We argue that although monetary unification does indeed...

Many of the leading models of the carry trade imply that, contrary to the empirical evidence, a country's currency depreciates in times of high consumption and output growth, a manifestation of the Backus and Smith (1993) puzzle. We propose a modification of these models to account for financial...

The study examines the impact of interest rate differential and exchange rate move-ment on the dynamics of Nigeria's international private capital flows from 2010Q1to 2019Q4. It uses the interest rate parity theory and the Markov Switching TimeVarying Transition Probability Modelling approach....

Foreign investors’ changing appetite for risk-taking has been shown to be a key determinant of the global financial cycle. Such fluctuations in risk sentiment also correlate with the dynamics of uncovered interest parity (UIP) premia, capital flows, and exchange rates. To understand how these...

In this paper we investigate the price, volatility and micro-level effects of central bank swap lines during the 2020 pandemic. These policies lowered the ceiling on covered interest rate parity violations and reduced volatility following settlement of swap line auctions. We then combine...

Foreign investors' changing appetite for risk-taking have been shown to be a key determinant of the global financial cycle. Such fluctuations in risk sentiment also correlate with the dynamics of UIP premia, capital flows, and exchange rates. To understand how these risk sentiment changes...

Foreign investors' changing appetite for risk-taking has been shown to be a key determinant of the global financial cycle. Such fluctuations in risk sentiment also correlate with the dynamics of uncovered interest parity (UIP) premia, capital flows, and exchange rates. To understand how these...