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This paper analyzes deviations from uncovered interest rate parity which are interpreted as indicator of the substitutability of currencies. Backward recursive statistical tests and error correction models are applied to study the co-movement of interest rates, and rolling regressions are used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951765
The uncovered interest rate parity condition lies at the heart of the "impossible trinity", stating that the three objectives of fixed exchange rates, free capital flows, and independent monetary policy cannot be pursued simultaneously. We argue that although monetary unification does indeed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851840
The status of real and financial integration of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan is investigated using monthly data on one-month interbank rates, exchange rates, and prices. Specifically, the degree of integration is assessed based on the empirical validity of real interest parity, uncovered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514149
The goal of this empirical project is to test the validity of three economic models - The General Monetary, The Purchasing Power Parity and The Interest Rate Parity models in Turkey - basing on quarterly data for the period 1975 - 1999. The project takes into account the serious economic shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011427574
We revisit the "puzzle" in open economy studies that evidence of international risk-sharing is hardly seen despite the completeness of the financial market. We reassess both risk-pooling via state-contingent bonds, and uncovered interest parity - both were believed to be different, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434689
Although there seems to be a broad consensus among economists that purely floating or completely fixed exchange rates (the so-called corner solutions) are the only viable alternatives of exchange rate management, many countries do not behave according to this paradigm and adopt a strategy within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014073589
This paper proposes a new explanationfor the UIP puzzle by analyzing a large number of cross-country bilateral exchange rates in two dimensions, cross-sectional and time-series. The exchange rates analyzed here includes a broad spectrum of developed and developing countries. The UIP relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058546
We analyse the consequences of US real interest rate rises on the real exchange rate (RER) in a two-good overlapping generations model of a semi-small open economy. The equilibrium RER depreciates (appreciates) when the world interest rate increases in a debtor (creditor) country. We then study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071797
We develop an institutional framework for central banks that try to pursue a stability-oriented monetary policy in open-economies by directly targeting the exchange rate. Our main intention is to design a framework which avoids excessive capital inflows that can be regarded as a main cause of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014161763
The unbiasedness hypothesis - the joint hypothesis of uncovered interest parity (UIP) and rational expectations - has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements. In contrast to previous studies, which have used short-horizon data, we test this hypothesis using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014148719